5 Jun 2005 Nic   » (Master)

June 2nd, 2005 On the DARPA Grand Challenge Discussion Forum user "mdrumbeat" made a somewhat researched guess on teams that will make it to the NQE. He posts:

I've tallied the following so far: A) About 14 teams with flawless runs (see seperate thread on site visit results) B) About 6 teams with ok runs but with a few flaws like hitting cans or going out of bounds once or twice C) About 15 other teams reporting with failed runs D) About 5 other teams reporting very bad visits or dropped out

By my best estimate, I am guessing that maybe 5 other teams had flawless runs (bringing that total to 19) and maybe 5 other teams had ok runs (bringing that total to 11). If we assume that DARPA will invite those 30 teams with flawless or ok runs, that leaves roughly 10 teams that had failed visits that could be invited. I would venture to guess that it is the last 10 or so teams that require some time to review and trade off based on technology promise and media worthiness.

This is of course a total guess but that would make the break down something like this:

1) 20 teams invited who had successful visits 2) 10 teams invited who had ok visits but with a few flaws 3) 10 teams invited who had bad visits but have promise in terms of technology or media worthiness

That's my crack at a guess.

If that turns out to be the case I'd say The Prodigies (http://www.craterfish.org/teamprodigies) have a pretty good chance of making the cut - our site visit wasn't a complete failure and we certainly show promise in technology as well as media worthiness.

Today is my brother William's 11th birthday. I got my money back for the accelerometer, also.

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